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Egypt's fertilizer prices in the spotlight after shifting the EGP to a flexible exchange rate regime

Major producers seek government’s green light for price revisions

Two of Egypt’s largest nitrogen fertilizer manufacturers are asking the government to rethink the prices at which they supply subsidized fertilizers. This request is a direct consequence of the EGP’s shift to a flexible exchange rate regime  which — according to sources who spoke to Asharq Business under condition of anonymity — pushed up the cost of gas for producing fertilizer by 44% to EGP 6,500/ton.

So What: The Egyptian government requires these producers to sell 55% of their output at reduced rates to the Ministry of Agriculture to meet the domestic market’s demand before allowing exports.

The Pressure Point: Following the Central Bank of Egypt’s (CBE) decision to shift the EGP to a flexible exchange rate regime, the EGP  fell to around 49.45 against the USD, and though it has slightly recovered to about EGP 47.5, companies like EGX-listed Abu Qir Fertilizers and Helwan Fertilizers find themselves in a pinch. They now face a loss of EGP 2,000/ton of subsidized fertilizer, with production costs skyrocketing from EGP 4,500 to over EGP 6,500/ton.

The Bigger Picture: Factoring in operating and transportation costs, the overall production cost for subsidized fertilizer stands at EGP 9,000/ton. This situation suggests significant potential losses for fertilizer firms if the pricing status quo remains.

Now What: Egypt’s farming lands cover 9.6 million feddans, requiring around 4 million tons of nitrogen fertilizer annually. The industry’s push for a pricing review is crucial to balancing affordability for farmers and sustainability for manufacturers amidst ongoing economic adjustments.

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