What: As the U.S. dollar continues to weaken, many investors are turning their attention toward alternative assets that can offer stability and protection.
Among these, gold is once again taking center stage.
Often viewed as a safe haven during economic uncertainty, gold has been steadily rising in value over the past few months.
Its historic role as a hedge against inflation and currency devaluation makes it an attractive option for those looking to preserve wealth.
With growing concerns about the dollar’s trajectory, the question now is whether gold could be the best investment choice in the current environment.
So What: Trump’s two main policies that have strongly affected the dollar’s performance are:
Tariffs
Since returning to the office, Trump has reignited trade tensions by imposing tariffs on a wide range of countries.
While intended to generate revenue and protect domestic industries, these tariffs have strained U.S. trade relations and sparked retaliatory measures, ultimately contributing to a growing trade deficit instead of shrinking it.
Interest Rates
Tensions have escalated between Trump and Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell.
Trump has been pressuring Powell to cut interest rates to stimulate economic growth, but the Fed has remained cautious.
This standoff has created uncertainty in financial markets and highlighted the ongoing political pressure on the central bank’s independence.
Analysts expect the U.S. dollar to continue weakening in the short term.
J.P. Morgan recently expressed rising concern over Trump’s aggressive tariff strategy, warning that widespread trade restrictions could undermine investor confidence in U.S. assets.
Additionally, the growing strength of other countries’ trade positions, particularly China, has contributed to a gradual shift away from dollar dominance in some markets.
However, in the long run, most analysts believe the dollar will remain fundamentally strong and retain its global reserve status, supported by the size and resilience of the U.S. economy.
On the other hand, Goldman Sachs and JP Morgan analysts have been praising gold.
Due to a mix of global geopolitical instability and political volatility in the U.S., investors are increasingly turning to gold as a safe-haven asset, boosting its demand.
Simultaneously, central banks worldwide are driving a sustained gold market trend by diversifying their reserves away from the U.S. dollar, which has been weakened by new tariffs and policy uncertainty.
The combined threat of inflation and slow economic growth is pushing investors toward gold as a hedge.
Now What: Investors are now closely watching the next moves for gold prices and the US dollar amid heightened geopolitical tensions, including the escalating Israel–Palestine conflict and the ongoing Russia-Ukraine war.
With a key Federal Reserve interest rate decision expected in September, uncertainty is high, and markets remain on edge about what may come next for gold.
GOLD vs EGX: Since the beginning of the dollar’s decline at the start of January, other assets in the Egyptian market have been gaining ground.
The EGX30 index has risen by 18% year-to-date, reflecting improved investor sentiment. However, gold has outperformed stocks, with local prices in Egypt surging by approximately 23% in 2025, in line with the global rally in gold prices.
What: CIRA reported consolidated earnings of EGP 3,326 million and a net profit of EGP 629 million for the first nine months of FY 2025, marking a solid increase from EGP 2,424 million in revenue and EGP 392 million in net profit during the same period last year.
So What: CIRA has continued to expand its educational institutions, accompanied by a steady rise in student admissions across its projects.
CIRA’s combined student capacity across its three universities rose by 24% year-on-year in 9M 2024/25, reaching 38,645 students, driven primarily by the launch of Saxony Egypt University (SEU) in September 2024.
CIRA’s K-12 enrollment rose 4% YoY in 9M 2024/25 to 35,636 students, pushing utilization to a record 94%, up from 91% last year.
Now what: CIRA’s expansion plans are progressing as scheduled, with major projects advancing steadily.
The Advanced Sci-Tech International Hub in Damietta is on track for a 2026 launch, set to host 16 faculties and serve up to 25,000 students.
Meanwhile, the Seneca International Campus in East Cairo is in the final approval stage and will focus on applied technology and technical education.
EDITA buys back 702,000 treasury stocks to boost share value and signal confidence.
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